Ethereum, XRP and Solana Face Major Downside Risk as Prediction Markets Turn Cautious

Prediction-market traders are signaling significant downside risk for Ethereum (ETH), XRP and Solana (SOL) through the end of 2026, despite the crypto market’s August recovery.

On Polymarket, traders give Ethereum a 77% chance of touching $2,250 and a 45% chance of falling to $2,000. XRP carries a 73% probability of reaching $1.20 and a 40% chance of touching $1, while Solana has a 67% chance of falling to $90.

However, traders have not ruled out another rally. Ethereum has a 48% chance of reaching $3,000, Kalshi gives XRP a 44% probability of exceeding $2, and Polymarket puts Solana’s chance of reaching $120 at 63%. The mixed odds suggest investors expect a wide and volatile trading range rather than a clear directional move, with downside risks remaining substantial even as recovery opportunities persist.

Clever Robot News Desk 2nd September 2026

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